Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
36.75% ( -0.02) | 24.61% ( 0.01) | 38.64% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.14% ( -0.05) | 43.86% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% ( -0.05) | 66.24% ( 0.05) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.42% ( -0.04) | 23.58% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.36% ( -0.05) | 57.65% ( 0.05) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( -0.02) | 22.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% ( -0.03) | 56.21% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |