Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.