Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 69.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Annan Athletic |
69.29% ( 0.01) | 17.93% ( -0) | 12.78% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.52% ( -0.02) | 38.48% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.23% ( -0.02) | 60.77% ( 0.02) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.96% ( -0) | 10.04% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.88% ( -0.01) | 33.12% ( 0.01) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.44% ( -0.03) | 41.56% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.95% ( -0.03) | 78.05% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 4.71% Total : 69.29% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.93% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |