Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
21.53% ( 0.13) | 21.76% ( 0.3) | 56.71% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% ( -1.21) | 40.25% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% ( -1.26) | 62.62% ( 1.27) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( -0.57) | 32.28% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( -0.65) | 68.78% ( 0.66) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.96% ( -0.53) | 14.04% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.4% ( -1.06) | 41.6% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.53% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |