Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.