Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
47.49% ( -0.12) | 22.96% ( 0.02) | 29.54% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 62.52% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.67% ( -0.05) | 38.33% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.38% ( -0.05) | 60.61% ( 0.05) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( -0.06) | 16.48% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% ( -0.12) | 46.2% ( 0.11) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% ( 0.04) | 25.13% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.15% ( 0.05) | 59.84% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |