Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
37.78% ( 0.01) | 24.7% ( -0) | 37.52% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 58.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.77% ( 0) | 44.23% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.39% ( 0) | 66.61% ( -0) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( 0) | 23.2% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.9% ( 0) | 57.1% ( -0.01) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.66% ( -0) | 23.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.7% ( -0) | 57.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
4 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
5 | Montrose | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Arbroath | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
7 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
10 | Dumbarton | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 6 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |