Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 83.39%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 4-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
83.39% ( -0.9) | 10.86% ( 0.6) | 5.75% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.07% ( -1.92) | 26.92% ( 1.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.61% ( -2.47) | 47.39% ( 2.48) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.35% ( -0.48) | 4.64% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.1% ( -1.49) | 18.9% ( 1.5) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.73% ( -0.66) | 48.27% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.57% ( -0.49) | 83.43% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
3-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.55) 4-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.58) 4-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.22) 5-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.21) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) 7-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.15) Other @ 4.39% Total : 83.38% | 1-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.8% Total : 10.86% | 1-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.29% Total : 5.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |