Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Montrose win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
13.27% ( -0.01) | 18.24% ( -0) | 68.49% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.21% ( -0.01) | 38.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.91% ( -0.01) | 61.09% ( 0.01) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.98% ( -0.02) | 41.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.42% ( -0.02) | 77.58% ( 0.02) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.68% ( 0) | 10.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.24% ( 0) | 33.76% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 3.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.77% 2-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 13.27% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.24% | 0-2 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.37% 0-4 @ 4.69% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.13% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 4.55% Total : 68.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |