Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
46.77% ( -0.04) | 25.94% ( 0.01) | 27.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% ( -0.02) | 52.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% ( -0.01) | 74.44% ( 0.02) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% ( -0.02) | 22.57% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% ( -0.04) | 56.16% ( 0.04) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% ( 0.02) | 34.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( 0.02) | 70.9% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |