Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
54.18% ( -0.01) | 22.26% | 23.57% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.89% ( 0.01) | 40.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( 0.01) | 62.48% ( -0.01) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.2% ( -0) | 14.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.92% ( -0) | 43.08% |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.58% ( 0.02) | 30.42% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.38% ( 0.02) | 66.63% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.18% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 26 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |