Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.