Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.