Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.