Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Hibernian |
50.95% ( 0.11) | 24.61% ( -0.25) | 24.44% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.43% ( 1.14) | 49.57% ( -1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.4% ( 1.02) | 71.59% ( -1.01) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.54% ( 0.49) | 19.45% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.7% ( 0.8) | 51.3% ( -0.8) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% ( 0.75) | 34.84% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.42% ( 0.78) | 71.57% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |