Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.