Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Rangers |
26.36% ( -0.01) | 22.67% ( -0.01) | 50.97% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.67% ( 0.04) | 39.32% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.34% ( 0.04) | 61.66% ( -0.04) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% ( 0.01) | 27.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.58% ( 0.02) | 63.41% ( -0.01) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.39% ( 0.02) | 15.61% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.4% ( 0.04) | 44.6% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Rangers |
2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 26.36% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 50.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |