Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
35.29% ( -2.01) | 25.47% ( 0.21) | 39.24% ( 1.8) |
Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.09% ( -1.08) | 47.91% ( 1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.91% ( -1) | 70.09% ( 1.01) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.73% ( -1.63) | 26.27% ( 1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.61% ( -2.24) | 61.39% ( 2.24) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( 0.47) | 24.1% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( 0.66) | 58.39% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |