Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
46.81% ( -0.17) | 23.66% ( -0.15) | 29.54% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 60% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% ( 0.87) | 41.65% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% ( 0.87) | 64.05% ( -0.87) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.98% ( 0.28) | 18.03% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.09% ( 0.47) | 48.91% ( -0.46) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% ( 0.65) | 26.81% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% ( 0.84) | 62.1% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.68% Total : 46.81% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |