We said: Motherwell 2-1 St Mirren
With both teams losing before the international break, confidence will not necessarily be that high. However, with St Mirren conceding five at Kilmarnock, Motherwell will hold the greater belief of posting three points, leading us to back a narrow win for the home side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.