Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.17%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
11.51% ( -0.21) | 18.73% ( -0.19) | 69.76% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.54% ( 0.3) | 45.46% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% ( 0.28) | 67.79% ( -0.28) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.82% ( -0.19) | 48.18% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.64% ( -0.14) | 83.36% ( 0.14) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.14% ( 0.2) | 11.86% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.86% ( 0.41) | 37.13% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 11.51% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.73% | 0-2 @ 12.98% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 9.23% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.92% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 69.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |