We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts
Kilmarnock were minutes away from their second win of the league campaign on Saturday, and they must now bounce back from that disappointment to fight for their place in the semi-finals of the League Cup.
Hearts have endured a tricky start to the term, but we are backing Shakland and company to click into gear to fire the Jam Tarts into the last four on Tuesday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.