MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 23:16:26| >> :600:3620265:3620265:
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Hearts

Lyons (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts

Kilmarnock were minutes away from their second win of the league campaign on Saturday, and they must now bounce back from that disappointment to fight for their place in the semi-finals of the League Cup. Hearts have endured a tricky start to the term, but we are backing Shakland and company to click into gear to fire the Jam Tarts into the last four on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
36.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.35% (0.00099999999999767 0) 38.1% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 56.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)47.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.51% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)58.84% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 36.55%
    Hearts 38.1%
    Draw 25.35%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 0.92%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.1%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Hearts
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Kilmarnock
Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hearts
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ginnelly (19'), Shankland (29', 89' pen.)
Taylor (73')
Oct 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hearts
Stokes (47'), Lafferty (59')
Humphrys (62'), Atkinson (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Hearts
0-1
Kilmarnock
Cameron (21')
rhs 2.0
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