Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Mirren.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
47.43% ( -0.03) | 25.15% ( 0.02) | 27.43% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% ( -0.07) | 49.54% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.43% ( -0.06) | 71.57% ( 0.06) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( -0.04) | 20.91% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.36% ( -0.07) | 53.64% ( 0.07) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.63% ( -0.03) | 32.37% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.12% ( -0.03) | 68.88% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 27.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
6 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
7 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
8 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
9 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
10 | Dundee | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |