Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
54.81% | 23.65% | 21.54% |
Both teams to score 51.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.46% | 48.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.33% | 70.67% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.41% | 17.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.85% | 48.15% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% | 36.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% | 73.74% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.8% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.71% Total : 21.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |