Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Hibernian win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Rangers |
19.08% ( 0.23) | 21.09% ( 0.16) | 59.83% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 56.49% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.37% ( -0.41) | 40.63% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.99% ( -0.42) | 63.01% ( 0.42) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% | 34.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( 0) | 71.64% ( -0) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( -0.25) | 13.21% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.04% ( -0.5) | 39.96% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Rangers |
2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.08% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.39% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.41% Total : 59.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |