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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ibrox Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Rangers
3 - 1
Kilmarnock

Goldson (6'), Sakala (25'), Tavernier (45' pen.)
Jack (54')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Dorsett (60')
McKenzie (62'), Wright (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Rangers and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Celtic
Sunday, February 26 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Rangers 3-0 Kilmarnock

McInnes was insistent that his side are "good enough" to beat Rangers at Ibrox but there is little reason to share his optimism, especially given Kilmarnock's ruinous away form and the sense of disappointment bubbling away in the Gers camp. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 79.7%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 7.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
RangersDrawKilmarnock
79.7% (-0.221 -0.22) 13.09% (0.11 0.11) 7.2% (0.1059 0.11)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.43% (-0.136 -0.14)32.57% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.77% (-0.16 -0.16)54.22% (0.154 0.15)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.61% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)6.38% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.05% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)23.94% (0.191 0.19)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.44% (0.178 0.18)48.56% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.36% (0.127 0.13)83.64% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Rangers 79.7%
    Kilmarnock 7.21%
    Draw 13.09%
RangersDrawKilmarnock
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.76% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 7.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.87% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 79.7%
1-1 @ 6.16% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.1% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 13.09%
0-1 @ 2.24% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.23% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 7.21%

How you voted: Rangers vs Kilmarnock

Rangers
84.6%
Draw
3.8%
Kilmarnock
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2023 8pm
Kilmarnock
2-3
Rangers
Stokes (6'), Wright (85')
Power (19'), Armstrong (35')
Armstrong (59')
Morelos (23', 72'), Kent (51')
Morelos (36'), Kent (55')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Rangers
2-0
Kilmarnock
Colak (51'), Morelos (88')

Taylor (14'), Donnelly (38'), McKenzie (49'), Armstrong (82'), Murray (85'), Cameron (86')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Kilmarnock
0-1
Rangers

Waters (23'), Tshibola (41'), Power (90')
Tavernier (19' pen.)
Barisic (44'), Goldson (70'), Davis (83')
Aug 22, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic2219216185359
2RangersRangers21125438172141
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd239763124734
4Aberdeen2110473230234
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7St Mirren2383112738-1127
8Dundee2275103438-426
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2265112531-623
12St Johnstone2243152444-2015


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