Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
60.84% ( 0.05) | 21.81% ( 0.13) | 17.35% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 50.74% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.37% ( -0.85) | 46.64% ( 0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.1% ( -0.81) | 68.91% ( 0.81) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.15% ( -0.26) | 14.86% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.82% ( -0.51) | 43.18% ( 0.52) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.6% ( -0.72) | 40.41% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.98% ( -0.66) | 77.02% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.46% Total : 60.84% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |