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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Hibs logo

Livingston
1 - 4
Hibernian

Nouble (9')
Montano (60'), Devlin (63'), Boyes (73')
Fitzwater (52'), Martindale (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Youan (28', 37'), Omeonga (61' og.), Kukharevych (90+7')
Egan Riley (73'), Nisbet (77'), Jeggo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Livingston 1-1 Hibernian

Livingston may lag behind in the bottom half of the table while Hibs occupy the lofty heights of fourth but only two points separate these sides, a narrow gap which might reflect a tight contest that we are tipping to end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawHibernian
28.93% (0.206 0.21) 25.38% (-0.113 -0.11) 45.69% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.495 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.585 0.59)49.63% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.521 0.52)71.65% (-0.521 -0.52)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (0.455 0.45)31.28% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (0.525 0.52)67.64% (-0.52600000000001 -0.53)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.20100000000001 0.2)21.71% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (0.309 0.31)54.88% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 28.93%
    Hibernian 45.69%
    Draw 25.37%
LivingstonDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.69%

How you voted: Livingston vs Hibernian

Livingston
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Hibernian
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 24, 2022 2pm
Hibernian
4-0
Livingston
Nisbet (33'), Cadden (35'), Magennis (40', 50')

Holt (15')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-1
Hibernian
Nouble (6'), Obileye (86')
Montano (52')
Kenneh (51')
Boyle (52'), Cabraja (80')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
Pittman (57')
Pittman (86'), Holt (90+2'), Kelly (90+4')

Melkersen (51'), Henderson (90+2')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
2-3
Livingston
Mitchell (6'), Cadden (32')
Murphy (79')
Obileye (18'), Fitzwater (53'), Forrest (59')
Holt (76')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
McMillan (16')
Stryjek (17'), Omeonga (49'), Penrice (50')

McGinn (36'), Doyle-Hayes (55'), Hanlon (61')
McGinn (85'), Hanlon (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1312104043637
2Aberdeen14103129161333
3RangersRangers13823189926
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd146532114723
5Motherwell136161619-319
6St Mirren155371925-618
7Dundee144462326-316
8Ross County153661227-1515
9St Johnstone1541101728-1113
10Kilmarnock143471627-1113
11Hibernian152671825-712
12Hearts152491625-910


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