Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
51.53% ( -0.07) | 23.8% ( 0) | 24.66% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( 0.04) | 45.97% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( 0.04) | 68.27% ( -0.04) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( -0.02) | 17.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.39% ( -0.02) | 48.6% ( 0.01) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% ( 0.07) | 32.69% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.75% ( 0.08) | 69.24% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |