Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren 4-1 Valur
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: St Mirren 2-1 Hibernian
Buoyed by their progression to the Europa Conference League's third qualifying round, St Mirren will be confident of victory on Sunday. Additionally, Hibs' poor away record should see them come into the clash as underdogs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
30.72% ( -0.16) | 25.12% ( -0) | 44.16% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.05) | 47.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( -0.05) | 69.86% ( 0.05) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.14) | 29.03% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.17) | 64.93% ( 0.17) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.05) | 21.59% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.32% ( 0.09) | 54.68% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
St Mirren 30.72%
Hibernian 44.16%
Draw 25.12%
| St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.16% |
How you voted: St Mirren vs Hibernian
St Mirren
58.1%Draw
22.6%Hibernian
19.4%93
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Hibernian
0-3
St Mirren
Aug 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hibernian
2-3
St Mirren
May 6, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
