Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
25.79% | 27.95% | 46.26% |
Both teams to score 44.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.05% | 60.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.04% | 80.96% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% | 39.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% | 76.6% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% | 26.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% | 61.57% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 14.04% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-3 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.93% Total : 46.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |