Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 77.17%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 8.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Motherwell win it was 2-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
8.51% ( 0.29) | 14.31% ( 0.17) | 77.17% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.26% ( 0.2) | 33.74% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.43% ( 0.23) | 55.57% ( -0.23) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.76% ( 0.81) | 46.23% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.1% ( 0.61) | 81.9% ( -0.62) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.87% ( -0.05) | 7.13% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.04% ( -0.13) | 25.96% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 8.51% | 1-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 14.31% | 0-2 @ 11.49% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 10.11% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 6.68% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 0-6 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 1-6 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 77.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |