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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hibs logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hibernian

Armstrong (53' pen.)
Power (40'), McKenzie (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabraja (12'), Porteous (66'), Cadden (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-0 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Hibernian

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 0-2 Ross County
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian

 In a match with significant permutations in the league standings, we expect both teams to give a good account of themselves as they search for some momentum. Despite this, there will be no separating the teams on the day and both Kilmarnock and Hibernian will have to make do with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
41.72% (0.223 0.22) 25.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 32.65% (-0.254 -0.25)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (-0.194 -0.19)49.16% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.177 -0.18)71.23% (0.173 0.17)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.025000000000006 0.03)23.39% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.37% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.258 -0.26)28.5% (0.255 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-0.323 -0.32)64.27% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 41.72%
    Hibernian 32.65%
    Draw 25.62%
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.65%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hibernian

Kilmarnock
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Hibernian
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
1-0
Kilmarnock
Newell (12')
Boyle (74'), Porteous (77')

Power (18'), Lafferty (77'), McKenzie (90+1')
Taylor (10')
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Hibernian
2-0
Kilmarnock
Magennis (51'), Nisbet (73')

McKenzie (45')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Hibernian
2-0
Kilmarnock
Power (52' og.), Gogic (80')

Power (79')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hibernian

Dikamona (27'), Power (40'), (69')
Nisbet (27' pen.)
Mallan (76')
Aug 1, 2020 3pm
Hibernian
2-1
Kilmarnock
Boyle (5', 34')
McGinn (68')
Burke (44')
Power (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic23193164115360
2RangersRangers22135441182344
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2310763124737
4Aberdeen2210573230235
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7Dundee2376103741-427
8St Mirren2383122738-1127
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2366112531-624
12St Johnstone2343162547-2215
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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