Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2023 at 12pm UK
St Mirren Park
We said: St Mirren 0-2 Celtic
Robinson may be able to call upon the autumnal victory for hope against the most daunting prospect in Scottish football, but it remains highly unlikely that St Mirren will emerge with anything from Sunday's rematch, let alone the club's first-ever set of consecutive home league wins against Celtic.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.61% . A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 8.39% .
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.82%) and 0-3 (10.85%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%) , while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (3.23%) . The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result St Mirren Draw Celtic 8.39% ( -0.3) 16% ( -0.18) 75.61% ( 0.48)
Both teams to score 42.8% ( -0.72)
57.41% ( -0.2) 42.59% ( 0.2)
35% ( -0.2) 64.99% ( 0.2)
47.33% ( -0.83) 52.67% ( 0.83)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 13.56% ( -0.54) 86.44% ( 0.54)
90.43% ( 0.07) 9.57% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 67.98% ( 0.16) 32.02% ( -0.16)
St Mirren 8.39%
Celtic 75.6%
Draw 16%
St Mirren Draw Celtic 1-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 8.39% 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.53% Total : 16% 0-2 @ 13.87% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 10.85% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 6.37% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.99% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 75.6%
How you voted: St Mirren vs Celtic
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rhs 2.0
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