Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 2Inter Milan
The Match
Match Report
Inter Milan claim a narrow 2-1 victory over city rivals AC Milan to seal their 20th Serie A title.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A derby between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
40.29% ( -0.31) | 25.7% ( 0.12) | 34.02% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.87% ( -0.5) | 49.13% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.8% ( -0.45) | 71.2% ( 0.45) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.38) | 24.1% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.61% ( -0.55) | 58.39% ( 0.55) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0.12) | 27.62% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.84% ( -0.15) | 63.16% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 40.29%
Inter Milan 34.02%
Draw 25.69%
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.02% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Inter Milan
AC Milan
20.7%Draw
18.4%Inter Milan
60.9%261
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
5-1
AC Milan
Mkhitaryan (5', 69'), Thuram (38'), Calhanoglu (79' pen.), Frattesi (90+3')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
Calhanoglu (72'), Frattesi (90+4')
May 16, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
May 10, 2023 8pm
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Form Guide
