Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
57.34% ( -0.51) | 22.39% ( 0.52) | 20.27% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -1.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.25% ( -2.36) | 44.75% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.89% ( -2.32) | 67.11% ( 2.31) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% ( -0.97) | 15.36% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.86% ( -1.84) | 44.13% ( 1.83) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.93% ( -1.37) | 36.06% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.15% ( -1.42) | 72.84% ( 1.42) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |