MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 09:16:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 0
Lecce

Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lecce

 A total of five draws from eight on their travels shows how hard Lecce can be to beat, so Atalanta may have to settle for a point in their final game of 2023. The hosts are often caught out at the back, and their visitors could take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
67.73% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02) 19.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.35% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (0.031999999999996 0.03)48.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02)83.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.73%
    Lecce 12.35%
    Draw 19.92%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 67.73%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 12.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
74.0%
Draw
18.0%
Lecce
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Baschirotto (27'), Di Francesco (29')
Zapata (40')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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