Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 1Bologna
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
It will be intriguing to see if Bologna can maintain this fantastic start which has them in the running for the top four, but they are still yet to win away from home this season. Over two-thirds of Lecce's points have come at home, and the likes of Milan and Lazio have been unable to win here, so another Bologna away draw could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Bologna |
41.59% ( 2.34) | 26.97% ( 0.98) | 31.44% ( -3.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( -4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
