Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
34.51% ( -0.02) | 28.73% ( -0.08) | 36.75% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 45.6% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.08% ( 0.28) | 60.91% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.06% ( 0.21) | 80.93% ( -0.21) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( 0.13) | 33.19% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% ( 0.15) | 69.8% ( -0.15) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% ( 0.2) | 31.73% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.84% ( 0.23) | 68.16% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |