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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Lecce

Despite Lecce's scoring run on their travels and Martinez's potential absence for Inter, the Nerazzurri should secure a comfortable triumph on home turf in this year's final game at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.93%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLecce
71.62% (0.199 0.2) 18.91% (-0.111 -0.11) 9.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 38.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (0.189 0.19)51.59% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.167 0.17)73.38% (-0.166 -0.17)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.87% (0.116 0.12)13.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.22% (0.235 0.23)39.78% (-0.237 -0.24)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.97% (-0.07 -0.07)56.03% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.51% (-0.041 -0.04)88.49% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.61%
    Lecce 9.47%
    Draw 18.91%
Inter MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 15.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 14.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 10.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.21% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 71.61%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.91%
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 9.47%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Lecce

Inter Milan
Draw
Lecce
Inter Milan
91.8%
Draw
4.1%
Lecce
4.1%
49
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 5pm
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32218372314171
2Napoli31198448252365
3Atalanta BCAtalanta32187765303561
4Juventus321514349301959
5Bologna321512551371457
6Lazio32168853431056
7Roma32159847321554
8Fiorentina32158949321753
9AC Milan32149951371451
10Torino32913103637-140
11Udinese32117143646-1040
12Genoa32912112938-939
13Como3299144048-836
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3295183059-2932
15CagliariCagliari3279163247-1530
16Parma32513143751-1428
17Lecce3268182352-2926
18VeneziaVenezia32412162544-1924
19Empoli31412152447-2324
20Monza3229212556-3115


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