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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Spezia Calcio logo

Atalanta
3 - 1
Spezia

Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Piccoli (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSpezia
71.78%16.1%12.11%
Both teams to score 57.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.88%31.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.47%52.53%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39%7.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.79%27.21%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36%37.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58%74.41%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.78%
    Spezia 12.11%
    Draw 16.1%
Atalanta BCDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.38%
4-0 @ 5.26%
4-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.9%
5-0 @ 2.71%
5-1 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 2.51%
5-2 @ 1.29%
6-0 @ 1.16%
6-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 71.78%
1-1 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 4.54%
0-0 @ 2.86%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.1%
1-2 @ 3.52%
0-1 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-2 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 12.11%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Spezia

Atalanta BC
88.0%
Draw
5.3%
Spezia
6.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 8
Spezia
0-0
Atalanta
Ricci (3'), Estevez (28'), Terzi (65')
Gosens (38'), Pasalic (52'), Pessina (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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