We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Venezia
Though their adaptation to the top flight has gone even better than they may have hoped before the campaign kicked off, Venezia's shortcomings in the final third could cost them again on Tuesday.
Even a rotated Atalanta side possesses far greater Serie A experience and firepower than their visitors, so a fourth straight league win is on the cards for the hosts, who can look to several sources for both goals and inspiration.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 7.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.86%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
