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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Milan logo

Bologna
P-P
AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Bologna
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Brugge
Tuesday, October 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Bologna 1-2 AC Milan

Bologna have dropped eight points from winning positions in Serie A this season, and their confidence must be low after slipping up last week, then being beaten in Birmingham. Therefore, hit-and-miss Milan are well-placed to take advantage of their hosts' woes and secure a third straight win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).

Result
BolognaDrawAC Milan
47.23% (-0.127 -0.13) 24.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 27.8% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)48.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (-0.026 -0.03)70.67% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)20.59% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86% (-0.107 -0.11)53.14% (0.114 0.11)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43% (0.063999999999993 0.06)31.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (0.073 0.07)67.96% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 47.23%
    AC Milan 27.8%
    Draw 24.96%
BolognaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 27.8%

How you voted: Bologna vs AC Milan

Bologna
15.6%
Draw
18.8%
AC Milan
65.6%
32
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
2-2
Bologna
Loftus-Cheek (45', 83')
Leao (22'), Calabria (36'), Adli (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+2'), Terracciano (90+1')
Zirkzee (29'), Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Calafiori (2'), Ferguson (39'), Urbanski (57')
Motta (41')
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan

Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')
Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')
Apr 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
1-1
AC Milan
Sansone (1')
Pobega (40')
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')

Schouten (56')
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
0-0
Bologna
Dijks (41'), Orsolini (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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