We said: Empoli 1-2 Bologna
While Bologna have lost just twice on their travels around Italy this season, Empoli are still awaiting their second league win at the Castellani.
Buoyed by their landmark victory in midweek, the away side should secure maximum points and extend their hosts' woes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.