Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
33.63% ( 0.02) | 26.25% ( 0.01) | 40.12% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( -0.02) | 51.57% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( -0.02) | 73.37% ( 0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( 0) | 29.06% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% ( 0) | 64.97% ( -0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( -0.02) | 25.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( -0.03) | 60.06% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.63% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
11 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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