Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
33.63% ( 0.02) | 26.25% ( 0.01) | 40.12% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( -0.02) | 51.57% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( -0.02) | 73.37% ( 0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( 0) | 29.06% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% ( 0) | 64.97% ( -0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( -0.02) | 25.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( -0.03) | 60.06% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.63% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 31 |
3 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
5 | Lazio | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 28 |
6 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
7 | AC Milan | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
10 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 16 |
11 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Torino | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Roma | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
16 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 13 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 12 |
18 | Como | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 11 |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
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