Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
43.65% ( 0.52) | 26.77% ( -0.01) | 29.57% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% ( -0.15) | 54.91% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.8% ( -0.13) | 76.2% ( 0.12) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( 0.2) | 24.97% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% ( 0.27) | 59.62% ( -0.27) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% ( -0.46) | 33.55% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.8% ( -0.5) | 70.19% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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