Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.35%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Torino |
46.35% ( 0.08) | 28.02% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 43.89% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.71% ( -0.03) | 61.28% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.79% ( -0.02) | 81.2% ( 0.03) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% ( 0.03) | 26.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.28% ( 0.04) | 61.71% ( -0.04) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.72% ( -0.09) | 40.27% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.1% ( -0.08) | 76.9% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 25.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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