Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Empoli |
51.86% ( -1.13) | 24.84% ( 0.4) | 23.3% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 50.53% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.46% ( -0.91) | 51.54% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( -0.8) | 73.34% ( 0.79) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.14% ( -0.8) | 19.86% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.04% ( -1.31) | 51.96% ( 1.31) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% ( 0.17) | 36.95% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% ( 0.17) | 73.74% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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