Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
| 24.78% | 22.44% | 52.78% |
| Both teams to score 60.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.3% | 39.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.94% | 62.06% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% | 29.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.83% | 65.17% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% | 15.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.31% | 43.7% |
| Score Analysis |
Bologna 24.78%
Napoli 52.78%
Draw 22.44%
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 6.32% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.78% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-1 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.93% Total : 52.78% |
Head to Head
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bologna
1-1
Napoli
Dec 1, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
1-2
Bologna
May 25, 2019 7.30pm
Dec 29, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 19
Napoli
3-2
Bologna
