Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Torino |
43.32% ( 0.3) | 28.86% ( 0.14) | 27.81% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 43.17% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.08% ( -0.63) | 62.91% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.59% ( -0.46) | 82.4% ( 0.46) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( -0.14) | 28.88% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.25% ( -0.18) | 64.75% ( 0.18) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( -0.71) | 39.3% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% ( -0.67) | 76% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 43.32% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.47% Total : 27.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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