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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Bologna logo

Torino
1 - 0
Bologna

Karamoh (22')
Buongiorno (64'), Vojvoda (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrow (70'), Schouten (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Torino and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 26 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Torino 2-2 Bologna

Torino are unbeaten in their last seven Serie A matches played on a Monday - the most recent six coming under current coach Ivan Juric - and that streak should be extended against Bologna. Both clubs have developed more of a goal threat of late, so an entertaining draw could be on the cards when Juric locks horns with former Genoa teammate Thiago Motta on the touchline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawBologna
55.74% (-0.256 -0.26) 24.56% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 19.7% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 46.63% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (0.071999999999996 0.07)54.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (0.059000000000001 0.06)75.67% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)19.39% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.8% (-0.121 -0.12)51.2% (0.126 0.13)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84% (0.281 0.28)42.16% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (0.241 0.24)78.57% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Torino 55.72%
    Bologna 19.7%
    Draw 24.56%
TorinoDrawBologna
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 19.7%

How you voted: Torino vs Bologna

Torino
40.5%
Draw
32.2%
Bologna
27.3%
121
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 11.30am
Bologna
2-1
Torino
Orsolini (64'), Posch (73')
Lucumi (24')
Lukic (26' pen.)
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Bologna
0-0
Torino

Schouten (26'), Theate (63'), Medel (70')

Pobega (34'), Ricci (68'), Rodriguez (78')
Dec 12, 2021 11.30am
Torino
2-1
Bologna
Sanabria (24'), Soumaoro (69' og.)
Sanabria (56'), Milinkovic-Savic (78')
Orsolini (79' pen.)
Theate (27'), Soumaoro (68'), Soriano (72'), De Silvestri (82')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Bologna
1-1
Torino
Barrow (25')
Baldursson (28'), Poli (51'), M'baye (53'), Larangeira (81')
Mandragora (58')
Nkoulou (18'), Rincon (45+2')
Dec 20, 2020 11.30am
Torino
1-1
Bologna
Verdi (69')
Lyanco (32')
Soriano (78')
Dominguez (26'), Svanberg (52'), Tomiyasu (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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