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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 2
Napoli

Giroud (69')
Kjaer (18'), Calabria (45'), Krunic (53'), Tomori (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
Rrahmani (63'), Simeone (70'), Zerbin (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rangers 0-3 Napoli
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Napoli

Despite the disappointment of Leao and Osimhen having to watch on from the stands, both sides have numerous routes to goal and should both score at least once. The Rossoneri may inflict Napoli's first defeat of the season, though, thanks to the winning mentality that made them champions in May. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
35.82% (0.264 0.26) 28.62% (0.193 0.19) 35.56% (-0.459 -0.46)
Both teams to score 45.95% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (-0.689 -0.69)60.51% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (-0.524 -0.52)80.62% (0.52200000000001 0.52)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87% (-0.182 -0.18)32.12% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (-0.208 -0.21)68.6% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.648 -0.65)32.29% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.741 -0.74)68.8% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 35.82%
    Napoli 35.55%
    Draw 28.61%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.72% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.55%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
51.9%
Draw
22.8%
Napoli
25.2%
206
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
AC Milan

Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli

Hernandez (86')
Rebic (90+2')
Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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